Prediction market odds
Coming up
Bank of RussiaUS economic data
US CPISeptember 2026 · out 14 Oct3.6%47%3.7%27%Kalshi 48% · Polymarket 46%US monthly CPISeptember 2026 · out 14 Oct0.5%38%0.6%30%Kalshi 39% · Polymarket 37%US core CPISeptember 2026 · out 14 Oct2.4%34%2.5%33%Kalshi 35% · Polymarket 34%US monthly core CPISeptember 2026 · out 14 Oct0.2%51%0.3%19%Kalshi 54% · Polymarket 39%US PPISeptember 2026 · out 15 Oct5.0% or lower<1%5.1%<1%US GDP growthQ3 2026 · out 29 OctAbove 3.0% to 3.5%30%Above 4.0%23%Kalshi 30%US nonfarm payrollsOctober 2026 · out 6 Nov20,000 to 30,00019%90,000 to 100,00013%Kalshi 19%US unemploymentOctober 2026 · out 6 Nov4.2%41%4.1%24%Kalshi 43% · Polymarket 33%US annual GDP growth2026 · closes 28 JanAbove 1.9% to 2.4%50%Above 2.4%48%Polymarket 50%US recessionBy 31 Dec 2026Yes7%Kalshi 5% · Polymarket 7%
World economic data
Mexico GDP growthQ3 2026 · out 30 OctAbove 2.4% to 2.9%30%Above 1.9% to 2.4%27%Polymarket 30%Euro area GDP growthQ3 2026 · out 30 OctAbove 0.7% to 1.1%55%Above 1.1% to 1.5%29%Polymarket 55%UK GDP growthQ3 2026 · out 12 NovAbove 0.3% to 0.5%40%Above 0.1% to 0.3%22%Polymarket 40%UK CPI12 months to December 2026 · out 20 JanAbove 3.4% to 3.9%63%Above 2.9% to 3.4%19%Polymarket 63%Germany GDP growthQ3 2026 · closes 30 OctAbove 1.2%44%Above 0.9% to 1.2%40%Polymarket 44%
Central bank decisions
Bank of RussiaMeeting 23 Oct 2026No change85%Cut12%Kalshi 85% · Polymarket 85%FedMeeting 28 Oct 2026No change83%Rise16%Kalshi 82% · Polymarket 84%Bank of CanadaMeeting 28 Oct 2026No change65%Rise24%Kalshi 65% · Polymarket 79%RBNZMeeting 28 Oct 2026Rise71%No change29%Kalshi 70% · Polymarket 71%ECBMeeting 29 Oct 2026No change94%Rise6%Kalshi 83% · Polymarket 94%Bank of JapanMeeting 30 Oct 2026No change94%Rise5%Kalshi 91% · Polymarket 95%RBAMeeting 3 Nov 2026No change81%Rise17%Kalshi 80% · Polymarket 83%Central Bank of BrazilMeeting 4 Nov 2026Cut95%No change4%Kalshi 96% · Polymarket 95%Bank of EnglandMeeting 5 Nov 2026Rise90%No change10%Kalshi 86% · Polymarket 90%BanxicoMeeting 5 Nov 2026No change57%Cut39%Polymarket 57%Bank IndonesiaNo market yet
Fed
Bank of Canada
RBNZ
ECB
Bank of Japan
RBA
Central Bank of Brazil
Banxico
Bank IndonesiaCommodity prices
GoldClose 9 Oct, 17:00 New York$4,19680% range $4,122 to $4,242From KalshiSilverClose 9 Oct, 17:00 New York$60.4580% range $59 to $62From KalshiCopperClose 9 Oct, 17:00 New York$6.6980% range $6.60 to $6.78From KalshiWTI crude oilClose 9 Oct, 14:30 New York$90.5980% range $88 to $93.50From KalshiBrent crude oilClose 9 Oct, 17:00 New York$101.7780% range $98 to $106From KalshiNatural gasClose 9 Oct, 17:00 New York$3.3180% range $3.10 to $3.50From Kalshi
Common questions
Which markets does this page cover?
10 US and 5 other economic data releases, 11 central banks' rate decisions and 6 commodity prices, each with its own page of odds and history.
Where do these odds come from?
From prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts on what will happen. Narwhal blends their prices into one probability for each outcome.
How often do the odds update?
This page shows odds delayed by 15 minutes. The Predictions API serves live odds on paid plans.
Are these odds a forecast or advice?
No. They reflect traders' bets, which can change quickly. They are not an official forecast or investment advice.