odds, 12 months to December 2026
Change data releaseKey data points
- Data for
- 12 months to December 2026
- Release
- 20 Jan 2027, 07:00 UTC
- Middle estimate
- 3.9%
- 80% range
- 3.4% to 4.4%
- Most likely
- Above 3.4% to 3.9% 63%
- Next release
- –
- Release after
- –
- Updated
- 07:47 UTC delayed 15 min
Market info
- Category
- Economic data
- Source
- Prediction markets
- Frequency
- Every 15 minutes
- Units
- Percent
Settles on: ONS UK consumer price index, 12-month percent change to December, not seasonally adjusted. From prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts on what will happen. Narwhal blends their prices into one probability for each outcome.
More data odds
United Kingdom inflation rate →Odds by outcome
| Outcome | Polymarket | Blended |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9% or lower | <1% | <1% |
| Above 0.9% to 1.4% | 1% | 1% |
| Above 1.4% to 1.9% | 2% | 2% |
| Above 1.9% to 2.4% | 2% | 2% |
| Above 2.4% to 2.9% | 1% | 1% |
| Above 2.9% to 3.4% | 19% | 19% |
| Above 3.4% to 3.9% | 63% | 63% |
| Above 3.9% to 4.4% | 8% | 8% |
| Above 4.4% | 2% | 2% |
PolymarketMarkets
| Market | Weight in blend | 24h volume | Open interest | Settles on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 100% | $2K | – | Office for National Statistics |
Common questions
What do prediction markets expect for UK CPI for 12 months to December 2026?
A middle estimate of 3.9%, with an 80% chance of 3.4% to 4.4%. The most likely single outcome is Above 3.4% to 3.9%, at 63%.
When is UK CPI for 12 months to December 2026 released?
20 Jan 2027, 07:00 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts on what will happen. Narwhal blends their prices into one probability for each outcome.
How often do the odds update?
This page shows odds delayed by 15 minutes. The Predictions API serves live odds on paid plans.
Are these odds a forecast or advice?
No. They reflect traders' bets, which can change quickly. They are not an official forecast or investment advice.