odds, Q3 2026
Change data releaseKey data points
- Data for
- Q3 2026
- Release
- 12 Nov 2026, 07:00 UTC
- Middle estimate
- 0.5%
- 80% range
- 0.3% to 0.9%
- Most likely
- Above 0.3% to 0.5% 38%
- Next release
- –
- Release after
- –
- Updated
- 07:47 UTC delayed 15 min
Market info
- Category
- Economic data
- Source
- Prediction markets
- Frequency
- Every 15 minutes
- Units
- Percent
Settles on: ONS UK real GDP, quarter-on-quarter percent change, in the first quarterly estimate. From prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts on what will happen. Narwhal blends their prices into one probability for each outcome.
More data odds
United Kingdom GDP growth rate →Odds by outcome
| Outcome | Polymarket | Blended |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1% or lower | 3% | 3% |
| Above -0.1% to 0.1% | 6% | 6% |
| Above 0.1% to 0.3% | 22% | 22% |
| Above 0.3% to 0.5% | 38% | 38% |
| Above 0.5% to 0.7% | 16% | 16% |
| Above 0.7% to 0.9% | 7% | 7% |
| Above 0.9% | 7% | 7% |
PolymarketMarkets
| Market | Weight in blend | 24h volume | Open interest | Settles on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 100% | $1K | – | Office for National Statistics |
Common questions
What do prediction markets expect for UK GDP growth for Q3 2026?
A middle estimate of 0.5%, with an 80% chance of 0.3% to 0.9%. The most likely single outcome is Above 0.3% to 0.5%, at 38%.
When is UK GDP growth for Q3 2026 released?
12 Nov 2026, 07:00 UTC.
Where do these odds come from?
From prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts on what will happen. Narwhal blends their prices into one probability for each outcome.
How often do the odds update?
This page shows odds delayed by 15 minutes. The Predictions API serves live odds on paid plans.
Are these odds a forecast or advice?
No. They reflect traders' bets, which can change quickly. They are not an official forecast or investment advice.