price odds,
Change commodityChange closeKey data points
- Close
- 9 Oct 2026 14:30 New York
- Closes
- today
- Middle estimate
- $90.73
- 80% range
- $88 to $93.50
- Most likely
- $90.50 to $91 12%
- Next close
- 9 Oct 2026, daily close
- Closes higher today
- 35%
- Updated
- 07:47 UTC delayed 15 min
Market info
- Category
- Energy
- Source
- Prediction markets
- Frequency
- Every 15 minutes
- Units
- US dollars per barrel
Each close settles on the WTI crude oil price at 14:30 New York time. From prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts on what will happen. Narwhal blends their prices into one probability for each outcome.
More commodity odds
Prediction market odds →Odds by outcome
| Price at 14:30 | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| Below $87.50 | 5% |
| $87.50 to $88 | 3% |
| $88 to $88.50 | 4% |
| $88.50 to $89 | 7% |
| $89 to $89.50 | 8% |
| $89.50 to $90 | 9% |
| $90 to $90.50 | 10% |
| $90.50 to $91 | 12% |
| $91 to $91.50 | 10% |
| $91.50 to $92 | 10% |
| $92 to $92.50 | 8% |
| $92.50 to $93 | 5% |
| $93 to $93.50 | 5% |
| Above $93.50 | 6% |
KalshiHigh and low
| WTI crude oil | Week to 9 Oct | October 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Reaches $110 | 1% | 8% |
| Reaches $105 | 1% | 17% |
| Reaches $100 | 2% | 34% |
| Reaches $95 | 7% | 63% |
| Falls to $90 | 77% | 97% |
| Falls to $85 | 3% | 63% |
| Falls to $80 | 3% | 30% |
| Falls to $75 | 1% | 13% |
Other markets
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| All-time high above $147.27 by 31 Dec 2026 | 11% |
Markets
| Market | Prices | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Close on 9 Oct 2026 | $15K | $15K |
| Polymarket | Week to 9 Oct high and low | $7K | – |
| Polymarket | October 2026 high and low | $201K | – |
| Polymarket | Up or down at close | $2K | – |
| Polymarket | New all-time high | $29K | – |
PolymarketCloses ahead
| Close | Middle estimate | 80% range | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | $90.73 | $88 to $93.50 | $90.50 to $91 |
| 9 Oct 2026, daily close | $90.58 | $88 to $94 | $90 to $91 |
| 13 Oct 2026 | $90.80 | $85 to $96 | $91.50 to $92 |
| 3 Nov 2026 | $91.75 | $71.50 to $112 | $96 to $99 |
Common questions
What do prediction markets expect for the WTI crude oil price on 9 Oct 2026?
A middle estimate of $90.73 at 14:30 New York time, with an 80% chance of $88 to $93.50. The most likely range is $90.50 to $91, at 12%.
Will WTI crude oil reach $95 in October 2026?
Prediction markets give it a 63% chance.
Where do these odds come from?
From prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts on what will happen. Narwhal blends their prices into one probability for each outcome.
How often do the odds update?
This page shows odds delayed by 15 minutes. The Predictions API serves live odds on paid plans.
Are these odds a forecast or advice?
No. They reflect traders' bets, which can change quickly. They are not an official forecast or investment advice.