Prediction market odds
Central bank decisions
Bank of RussiaMeeting 23 Oct 2026No change87%Cut11%Kalshi 88% · Polymarket 87%FedMeeting 28 Oct 2026No change83%Rise16%Kalshi 83% · Polymarket 84%Bank of CanadaMeeting 28 Oct 2026No change80%Rise16%Kalshi 77% · Polymarket 83%RBNZMeeting 28 Oct 2026Rise71%No change29%Kalshi 69% · Polymarket 71%ECBMeeting 29 Oct 2026No change95%Rise5%Kalshi 84% · Polymarket 95%Bank of JapanMeeting 30 Oct 2026No change95%Rise5%Kalshi 92% · Polymarket 95%RBAMeeting 3 Nov 2026No change83%Rise16%Kalshi 83% · Polymarket 83%Central Bank of BrazilMeeting 4 Nov 2026Cut89%No change10%Kalshi 90% · Polymarket 89%Bank of EnglandMeeting 5 Nov 2026Rise91%No change9%Kalshi 88% · Polymarket 91%Bank IndonesiaNo market yetBanxicoNo market yet
Common questions
Which markets does this page cover?
10 US and 5 other economic data releases, 11 central banks' rate decisions and 6 commodity prices, each with its own page of odds and history.
Where do these odds come from?
From prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts on what will happen. Narwhal blends their prices into one probability for each outcome.
How often do the odds update?
This page shows odds delayed 15 min. The Predictions API serves live odds on paid plans.
Are these odds a forecast or advice?
No. They reflect traders' bets, which can change quickly. They are not an official forecast or investment advice.
