Prediction market odds
US economic data
US CPISeptember 2026 · out 14 Oct3.6%47%3.7%27%Kalshi 48% · Polymarket 46%US monthly CPISeptember 2026 · out 14 Oct0.5%38%0.6%30%Kalshi 39% · Polymarket 37%US core CPISeptember 2026 · out 14 Oct2.4%35%2.5%32%Kalshi 35% · Polymarket 34%US monthly core CPISeptember 2026 · out 14 Oct0.2%51%0.3%19%Kalshi 54% · Polymarket 39%US PPISeptember 2026 · out 15 OctAbove 5.8%40%5.6%12%Polymarket 40%US GDP growthQ3 2026 · out 29 OctAbove 3.0% to 3.5%34%Above 4.0%23%Kalshi 34%US nonfarm payrollsOctober 2026 · out 6 Nov10,000 to 20,00014%Above 125,00012%Kalshi 14%US unemploymentOctober 2026 · out 6 Nov4.2%41%4.1%24%Kalshi 43% · Polymarket 33%US annual GDP growth2026 · closes 28 JanAbove 1.9% to 2.4%50%Above 2.4%48%Polymarket 50%US recessionBy 31 Dec 2026Yes7%Kalshi 5% · Polymarket 7%
Common questions
Which markets does this page cover?
10 US and 5 other economic data releases, 11 central banks' rate decisions and 6 commodity prices, each with its own page of odds and history.
Where do these odds come from?
From prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts on what will happen. Narwhal blends their prices into one probability for each outcome.
How often do the odds update?
This page shows odds delayed by 15 minutes. The Predictions API serves live odds on paid plans.
Are these odds a forecast or advice?
No. They reflect traders' bets, which can change quickly. They are not an official forecast or investment advice.