price odds,
Change commodityChange close$3.4580% range $2.90 to $4.10Middle estimate at 17:00 New York time · closes in 21 days
Middle estimate +19.4%since 1 Oct
Key data points
- Close
- 30 Oct 2026 17:00 New York
- Closes
- in 21 days
- Middle estimate
- $3.45
- 80% range
- $2.90 to $4.10
- Most likely
- $3.30 to $3.40 12%
- Next close
- –
- Close after
- –
- Updated
- 08:33 UTC delayed 15 min
Market info
- Category
- Energy
- Source
- Prediction markets
- Frequency
- Every 15 minutes
- Units
- US dollars per MMBtu
Each close settles on the natural gas price at 17:00 New York time. From prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts on what will happen. Narwhal blends their prices into one probability for each outcome.
More commodity odds
Prediction market odds →Odds by outcome
| Price at 17:00 | Kalshi |
|---|---|
| Below $2.70 | 3% |
| $2.70 to $2.80 | 3% |
| $2.80 to $2.90 | 4% |
| $2.90 to $3 | 7% |
| $3 to $3.10 | 7% |
| $3.10 to $3.20 | 5% |
| $3.20 to $3.30 | 8% |
| $3.30 to $3.40 | 12% |
| $3.40 to $3.50 | 7% |
| $3.50 to $3.60 | 12% |
| $3.60 to $3.70 | 7% |
| $3.70 to $3.80 | 7% |
| $3.80 to $3.90 | 6% |
| $3.90 to $4 | 3% |
| $4 to $4.10 | 4% |
| $4.10 to $4.20 | 3% |
| $4.20 to $4.30 | 1% |
| $4.30 to $4.40 | <1% |
| $4.40 to $4.50 | <1% |
| $4.50 to $4.60 | <1% |
| $4.60 to $4.70 | <1% |
| $4.70 to $4.80 | <1% |
| $4.80 to $4.90 | <1% |
| $4.90 to $5 | <1% |
| $5 to $5.10 | <1% |
| $5.10 to $5.20 | <1% |
| $5.20 to $5.30 | <1% |
| $5.30 to $5.40 | <1% |
| $5.40 to $5.50 | <1% |
| $5.50 to $5.60 | <1% |
| $5.60 to $5.70 | <1% |
| $5.70 to $5.80 | <1% |
| $5.80 to $5.90 | <1% |
| Above $5.90 | 5% |
KalshiHigh and low
| Natural gas | Week to 9 Oct |
|---|---|
| Reaches $3.70 | 5% |
| Reaches $3.60 | 6% |
| Reaches $3.40 | 6% |
| Reaches $3.30 | 14% |
| Reaches $3.20 | 40% |
| Falls to $3.10 | 84% |
Markets
| Market | Prices | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Close on 30 Oct 2026 | $139 | $29K |
| Polymarket | Week to 9 Oct high and low | $6K | – |
PolymarketCloses ahead
| Close | Middle estimate | 80% range | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | $3.33 | $3.10 to $3.50 | $3.20 to $3.50 |
| 30 Oct 2026 | $3.45 | $2.90 to $4.10 | $3.30 to $3.40 |
Common questions
What do prediction markets expect for the natural gas price on 30 Oct 2026?
A middle estimate of $3.45 at 17:00 New York time, with an 80% chance of $2.90 to $4.10. The most likely range is $3.30 to $3.40, at 12%.
Where do these odds come from?
From prediction markets, where traders buy and sell contracts on what will happen. Narwhal blends their prices into one probability for each outcome.
How often do the odds update?
This page shows odds delayed by 15 minutes. The Predictions API serves live odds on paid plans.
Are these odds a forecast or advice?
No. They reflect traders' bets, which can change quickly. They are not an official forecast or investment advice.