Equity risk premium of the United States

The equity risk premium of the United States is 3.22% (as of 28 Oct 2026).

3.22%The United States has no country premium, so the total is the mature market premium.As of 28 Oct 2026 · Method

The breakdown

Equity risk premium by part, with how each part was found
PartValueBasis
Mature market premium3.2230%Observed
Country default spread0.0000%Zero by definition (the mature market)
Volatility ratio
Country risk premium0.0000%Zero by definition (the mature market)
Total equity risk premium3.2230%Observed

Observed means worked out from market or official data.

How each part was found

The United States is the mature market, so its country premium is zero by definition. Every other country's total is this mature market premium plus a country premium.

Where the United States stands

The United States is joint 165th of 175 countries by equity risk premium, counted from the highest.

Every other country's total starts from this figure. Across the other 174 countries the median total is 7.12%, and the highest is 29.88% (Venezuela).

The closest countries by total are Australia (3.22%), Canada (3.22%) and Denmark (3.22%).

How it is calculated

Total premium = mature market premium + country premium.

Read the full method →

Use it in a cost of equity calculation

Cost of equity = risk-free rate + beta x equity risk premium. With made-up inputs of a 4.00% risk-free rate and a beta of 1.2, a company earning in the United States has a cost of equity of 4.00% + 1.2 x 3.22% = 7.86%.

The figures are in US dollar terms. For another currency, add the inflation difference between the two currencies.

Get it by API or MCP

GET /v1/economics/USA/equity-risk-premium

{ "country": "USA", "as_of": "2026-10-28",
  "country_risk_premium": "0.0000", "total_erp": "3.2230",
  "basis": { "total_erp": "observed", ... } }

MCP: economics_get_equity_risk_premium { "country": "USA" }

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Common questions

What is the equity risk premium of the United States?

The equity risk premium of the United States is 3.22% (as of 28 Oct 2026), the extra return investors expect from shares over a risk-free government bond.

How is the country risk premium of the United States worked out?

The United States is the mature market, so it has no country premium. The total equals the mature market premium of 3.22%.

Which equity risk premium should I use for the United States?

For a company whose cash flows are mostly earned in the United States, use 3.22%. For one earning in several countries, weight each country's premium by where its cash flows come from.

How often is it updated?

Every month. Each figure carries its date, and earlier dates stay in the history endpoint.

Source
Narwhal estimate
Methodology →
API
GET /v1/economics/USA/equity-risk-premium
API reference →