Equity risk premium of the Netherlands

The equity risk premium of the Netherlands is 3.41% (as of 28 Oct 2026).

3.41%That is a mature market premium of 3.22% plus a country premium of 0.18%.As of 28 Oct 2026 · Method
  • Mature market 3.22%
  • Netherlands 0.18%

The breakdown

Equity risk premium by part, with how each part was found
PartValueBasis
Mature market premium3.2230%Observed
Country default spread0.0899%Observed
Volatility ratio2.0310Modelled
Country risk premium0.1826%Modelled
Total equity risk premium3.4056%Modelled

Observed means worked out from market or official data. Modelled means estimated from other countries' data.

How each part was found

The default spread is the 10-year government bond yield of the Netherlands minus Germany's, never below zero (monthly series from the OECD). The volatility ratio is one constant, the average of the ratios we measured for the United States, Germany and Canada. That makes the country premium and the total modelled.

Where the Netherlands stands

The Netherlands is 164th of 175 countries by equity risk premium, counted from the highest.

Among the 18 countries whose totals are modelled, the Netherlands is 18th.

The median for the 49 countries in Europe is 4.53%, and totals there run from 3.22% (Denmark) to 29.88% (Belarus). The Netherlands is 1.13 points below that median.

At 3.41%, that is 1.06 times the mature market premium of 3.22%.

The Netherlands is in the euro area. Its total is 0.18 points above Germany's 3.22%, and Germany is the euro-area reference.

The closest countries by total are Ireland (3.46%), Malta (3.47%) and Australia (3.22%).

How it is calculated

Total premium = mature market premium + country premium.

The country premium is the extra yield the country's government pays over Germany's, multiplied by how much more volatile its shares are than its bonds.

Read the full method →

Use it in a cost of equity calculation

Cost of equity = risk-free rate + beta x equity risk premium. With made-up inputs of a 4.00% risk-free rate and a beta of 1.2, a company earning in the Netherlands has a cost of equity of 4.00% + 1.2 x 3.41% = 8.09%.

The figures are in US dollar terms. For another currency, add the inflation difference between the two currencies.

Get it by API or MCP

GET /v1/economics/NLD/equity-risk-premium

{ "country": "NLD", "as_of": "2026-10-28",
  "country_risk_premium": "0.1826", "total_erp": "3.4056",
  "basis": { "total_erp": "modelled", ... } }

MCP: economics_get_equity_risk_premium { "country": "NLD" }

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Common questions

What is the equity risk premium of the Netherlands?

The equity risk premium of the Netherlands is 3.41% (as of 28 Oct 2026), the extra return investors expect from shares over a risk-free government bond.

How is the country risk premium of the Netherlands worked out?

It is the extra yield the Netherlands pays over Germany on 10-year government bonds, multiplied by a volatility ratio. The country premium is 0.18% and the total is 3.41%.

Which equity risk premium should I use for the Netherlands?

For a company whose cash flows are mostly earned in the Netherlands, use 3.41%. For one earning in several countries, weight each country's premium by where its cash flows come from.

How often is it updated?

Every month. Each figure carries its date, and earlier dates stay in the history endpoint.

Source
Narwhal estimate
Methodology →
API
GET /v1/economics/NLD/equity-risk-premium
API reference →